Tracking the tropics: Invest 94E brewing in the Pacific as El Niño intensifies

El Niño continues to strengthen and is forecast to approach Super El Niño status later in the hurricane season in the Pacific.

The FOX Forecast Center said typical El Niño impacts are already emerging across both the Pacific and Atlantic basins.

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In the Eastern Pacific, activity has been above average, while the Atlantic has experienced a quieter-than-normal start.

Warmer-than-average ocean temperatures and atmospheric lift help fuel storm development across the Pacific.

On the other hand, stronger upper-level winds and increased sinking air across the Atlantic create a more hostile environment that limits tropical development.

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Two areas are being monitored in the Eastern Pacific, including Invest 94E, which has a 40% chance of developing in the next seven days.

The term "invest" is used every hurricane season in the Atlantic and the Eastern and Central Pacific basins, accompanied by a number from 90 to 99 and either the suffix "L," "E" or "C," respectively.

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While both have a medium chance of development over the next week, they highlight the basin's growing potential for tropical activity, the FOX Forecast Center said.

Warm ocean temperatures and rising air are supporting increased activity across the Western Pacific, including Typhoon Mekkhala and Tropical Storm Higos.

Typhoon Mekkhala is currently categorized as a very strong typhoon with 130 mph winds, while Tropical Storm Higos has 40 mph winds.

Meanwhile, no tropical development is expected across the Atlantic in the next seven days as Saharan dust and hostile winds continue to suppress activity.

The sprawling African airmass, that is showing little sign of departing anytime soon, is injecting dry, stable air into the region – playing a major factor in the Atlantic hurricane season as summer steps into full stride.

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Into early July, favorable conditions, including rising air and warm ocean temperatures, are expected to persist across the Pacific, supporting continued tropical development.

Across the Atlantic, hostile winds, particularly over the Main Development Region and Caribbean, are expected to limit activity and contribute to below-average rainfall.

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Seasonal forecasts from both the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and Colorado State University (CSU) continue to reflect El Niño's influence, calling for below-average activity across the Atlantic Basin.